Efficiency stagnation in global steel production urges joint supply- and demand-side mitigation efforts

摘要

Steel production is a difficult-to-mitigate sector that challenges climate mitigation commitments. Efforts for future decarbonization can benefit from understanding its progress to date. Here we report on greenhouse gas emissions from global steel production over the past century (1900-2015) by combining material flow analysis and life cycle assessment. We find that ~45 Gt steel was produced in this period leading to emissions of ~147 Gt CO2-eq. Significant improvement in process efficiency (~67%) was achieved, but was offset by a 44-fold increase in annual steel production, resulting in a 17-fold net increase in annual emissions. Despite some regional technical improvements, the industry’s decarbonization progress at the global scale has largely stagnated since 1995 mainly due to expanded production in emerging countries with high carbon intensity. Our analysis of future scenarios indicates that the expected demand expansion in these countries may jeopardize steel industry’s prospects for following 1.5 °C emission reduction pathways. To achieve the Paris climate goals, there is an urgent need for rapid implementation of joint supply- and demand-side mitigation measures around the world in consideration of regional conditions.

出版物
Nature Communications, 12, 2066

影响:

https://www.natureindex.com/article/10.1038/s41467-021-22245-6

维基百科:高炉介绍 https://en.wikipedia.org/?curid=297203

斯德哥尔摩报告:https://www.sei.org/publications/what-achieve-net-zero/

IPCC报告:引用7次:https://www.ipcc.ch/report/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-3/

Supplementary notes can be added here, including data, SI, and Pdf.

汪 鹏(Peng Wang)
汪 鹏(Peng Wang)
物质循环与资源安全

协同人工智能与物质流技术,应对全球可持续转型中的物质资源约束.